Luck of the draw….

This weekend Stanford’s Andrew Luck will play his final college game (except for the annual college all-star games of course).   With the end of his college career will come high expectations.  Barring some unforeseen circumstance Luck will be the No. 1 pick in the 2012 NFL draft.  At this point the Indianapolis Colts are the front runners to get that No. 1 pick.  However, if the Colts win and the St. Louis Rams win on Sunday, the Rams would end up with the No. 1 pick.  Regardless, Luck will carry with him hopes of Super Bowls future.

We’ve seen this scenario play out in the past.  But contrary to popular belief, top drafted quarterbacks are neither sure things, nor are they always busts.  When we look at the past couple of decades worth of quarterbacks who were drafted high we get a mixed bag.  Eli Manning, now considered one of the top tier QB’s in the league was a No. 1 pick.  Ryan Leaf, long gone from the NFL ranks was also a No. 2 overall and a complete bust.  Of course Eli’s brother, you know that guy from the Colts, um uh, oh yeah Peyton, was the #1 pick behind Ryan Leaf that year.  And what has he done?  Tom Brady was drafted in the 6th round out of Michigan, Matt Stafford #1.  Both are doing quite well these days.

Even we go further back in time we see that drafting a quarterback in the NFL is a crap shoot.  Joe Montana wasn’t drafted until the 3rd round by the 49ers.  And we all know what he went on to do.  Joe Namath was highly touted out of college and drafted #1 by the then AFL New York Jets.   Meanwhile Steve Spurrier, he of the successful college coaching career was drafted in the first round by the 49ers and never amounted to much.

The point being, evaluating a college quarterback and extrapolating his talents on to an NFL field is an in exact science.  As every rookie quarterback will tell you the speed of the game is so much greater at the NFL level, and the complexities of the offenses AND defenses cause their heads to spin.

So although Colts fans will be ecstatic to get the No. 1 pick in the 2012 NFL draft, it doesn’t guarantee that happy days will be here again.  It’s all in the luck of the draw.

At ArizonaPremiereLiving.com, we don’t just talk about Phoenix real estate, but we talk about the things we have a passion for, and that’s the whole reason for ArizonaPremiereSports.com.  For more information about us and the things we enjoy, check out our blog and visit our Arizona Premiere Living Resources Page and check out the Sports Resources section.

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